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Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.The yield of China's 10-year government bonds hit the 1.88% mark, hitting a new low.CICC interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: the fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year. CICC issued a document saying that the tone of the Politburo in September will be continued, and this Politburo meeting will further inject confidence into the market, and there will be many new formulations in policy. From the perspective of policy objectives, the demand for growth is more clear, and the expression of "property market and stock market" is also very clear. From the policy direction, expanding domestic demand ranks first, and the tendency to boost consumption and improve people's livelihood is further highlighted. From the policy tone, monetary and fiscal policies are more active, and "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" is put forward for the first time. In terms of specific policy prospects, we believe that the following aspects are worthy of attention: the intensity of fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year; The loose space of monetary policy may be opened through comprehensive policies, and the structural monetary policy may be significantly overweight; Expand domestic demand in an all-round way, and incremental measures may focus more on consumption; Further promote reform and opening up. Generally speaking, the policy mix is in line with what we judge as "tight credit, loose money and wide finance" in the second half of the financial cycle.

Twenty-four companies disclosed the progress of repurchase. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird had the highest amount of fire repurchase plans. On December 10th, a total of 24 companies issued stock repurchase announcements. Among them, seven companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, one company's repurchase plan was approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and 12 companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of stock repurchase plans of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird have the highest repurchase plans, and they are planned to repurchase no more than 2.5 billion yuan, 100 million yuan and 86.1216 million yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, a total of one company's repurchase plan exceeded 10 million on that day. Henghui Security has the highest repurchase amount, and it is planned to repurchase no more than 60 million yuan.The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds continued to decline, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp and hit the 1.90% mark, hitting a record low.Australia's business confidence has fallen sharply, and the economic outlook is not optimistic. Australia's business confidence index fell sharply in November, and the current situation index measuring employment, sales and profitability has further weakened, once again indicating that the private sector in the economy is facing heavy pressure. According to a survey released by the National Bank of Australia on Tuesday, the business confidence index dropped by 8 points to -3, reversing the gains in October. The status quo index dropped from 7 to 2. "Overall, the survey shows that growth continued to be weak in the fourth quarter," the bank said in the report. As the capacity utilization rate is still above average, it may take more time for price pressure to fully return to normal. The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its last interest rate decision this year in a few hours, and it is almost certain that the policy interest rate will remain at a 13-year high of 4.35%. Last week's data showed that Australia's GDP was weak again in the third quarter, prompting traders to advance their expectations of interest rate cuts from May next year to April.

The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds continued to decline, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp and hit the 1.90% mark, hitting a record low.In October, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, and the trend of steady improvement continued to consolidate. The General Administration of Market Supervision announced today (10th) that in October, 2024, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, up 0.47 points from September, and the steady improvement of corporate credit level continued to consolidate.South Korea said that the recent increase in financial and foreign exchange market volatility will actively respond to reverse market sentiment. The South Korean government said in a joint statement that the recent increase in financial and foreign exchange market volatility is somewhat excessive considering the fundamentals of South Korea's economic stability and the stability of the external environment. The government and the Bank of Korea are capable of coping with the market and will actively respond to reverse market sentiment. Pay close attention to market trends and will use all measures to stabilize the market. South Korean Finance Minister Choe Sang-mu, Central Bank Governor Lee Chang-yong and financial regulators meet every day to evaluate the financial market.